A high-powered executive is warning that his business is about to slow down — all because he sees turbulence ahead for the U.S. economy.
John Dietrich, CFO of FedEx, just slashed the company’s earnings expectations for the rest of the year.
FedEx has a unique vantage point.
With shipping data that acts as a real-time pulse check on consumer demand and domestic trade, the company feels the impact of supply chain disruptions, retail slowdowns, and manufacturing shifts before most analysts can even crunch the numbers.
And now, the company is bracing for a slowdown in 2025.
'I think it’s reasonable to assume that the macro environment is not going to significantly improve, at least through the first half of fiscal 2026,' Dietrich said.
Deutsche Bank says the probability of the US entering a recession within the next 12 months has climbed to 43%.